I'll be using this space for updates, notes of interest and other things that catch my interest, that I feel may catch your interest too!  Spend some time looking around the page, and sign up for an email list.  You can get market updates, search for homes around Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch and the San Antonio metro.  Let me know if I can do something for you anytime.  Just call or text me at 210-478-8555 or feel free to email me!  

Sept. 9, 2026

The Housing Market Split in 2. Which Side Is Your House On?



Ask a couple people how the housing market is doing and you’ll probably get a couple different answers. That’s because right now, the market runs on 2 very different tracks, split by price point.

Knowing which track your house is on changes everything about your sale, from your asking price to how long you can expect to wait before an offer comes in. Here’s what you need to know.

Home Sales Are Picking Up Speed at the Top of the Market

Rates and buyer competition are shaping this market differently depending on price point. Look at recent sales data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and the pattern jumps right out. 

Homes priced under $250,000 saw sales drop 2-3% compared to last year, while homes priced above $750,000 saw sales climb by double digits (see graph below):

a graph of salesWhat’s behind the divide? Due to higher rates and the last few years of home price appreciation, fewer buyers can comfortably afford homes at the entry-level price point right now – especially first-time buyers. So, demand in that segment has slowed down. 

On the flip side, buyers looking for higher-priced homes have less sensitivity to high-rate environments and more room in their budgets, thanks in part to a strong stock market and their equity in their current home. 

That’s the real differentiator. Lower-priced homes are still selling, just not as quickly since today’s rates have shrunk the pool of buyers who can afford to buy their first place right now.

This is exactly why pricing strategy and presentation carry more weight than they used to, especially if you’re selling in that range. Price it right from the start instead of testing a high number, make sure it shows well online and in person, and lean on an agent who can get your listing in front of every buyer shopping in your range. That’s the best way to make sure you catch the attention of one of the buyers who are still looking – and it’s how you prove your home is worth it’s price.

Why Some Homes Sit While Others Get Snapped Up

How fast a home sells is shifting by price point too, and the split is just as sharp. For years, luxury homes sat on the market a lot longer than starter homes. That gap has nearly closed, according to Redfin (see chart below):

a graph of salesBuyers with deep pockets are moving fast when a well-priced home in their range comes up. As Zillow puts it:

“The U.S. housing market is splitting in two. Luxury homes are selling at a faster pace than a year ago, with shrinking supply and growing bidding wars.”

If you’re in that range, your house may sell faster than you’d expect. You may even get multiple offers. That kind of competition changes how a listing should be marketed and priced from day 1. 

And no matter which side you’re on, that’s information you’re going to want up front if you want to have the smoothest sale possible.

What This Means for Your Sale

If you’re thinking about selling an entry-level home, don't panic. Homes at your price point are still selling, just at a slower pace than last year. That slower pace means pricing and presentation matter even more right now. 

If you're selling a move-up or luxury house, you’re in a good spot right now. Buyers looking in your price point usually aren’t as affected by today’s rates, so they’re more active, and good listings are drawing real competition.

Either way, your price point is the biggest factor in how fast your house sells and what it sells for.

Bottom Line

Your home's price point is the real story right now, more than anything you're hearing in national headlines. Let's map out exactly where your house fits in this split market and build a pricing strategy that gets you the speed and price you're after.

 

Charley Wasson is a full-time real estate professional specializing in the Boerne, Texas and Fair Oaks Ranch, Texas markets — helping buyers and sellers navigate Hill Country properties with the depth of knowledge that only comes from living and working in the community.

Named to the Platinum Top 50 of San Antonio Realtors, and a 4 time award winner, Charley brings nearly a decade of dedicated real estate experience and a track record that speaks for itself: over 300 documented MLS sales and more than $121 million in property sold across the Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and greater Hill Country area. That volume of closed transactions isn't just a number — it means Charley Wasson has navigated virtually every scenario a Hill Country buyer or seller is likely to face.

Sept. 3, 2026

What Fall 2026 Actually Means for Boerne & Hill Country Home Sellers

If you've been holding off on listing because the headlines make the market sound slow, here's the more useful version of the story: homes are still selling — sometimes fast — but it takes the right price and the right prep to be one of them. I put together a full breakdown of what's actually happening in the market right now, and where sellers still have real leverage. Here's a preview.

More Inventory Means Buyers Are Choosier

Active listings are back near their highest point in five years. That's good news if you're also buying your next home, but it means your listing will have real competition. Buyers are quick to skip over anything that feels overpriced — and once you miss that first wave of attention, a later price cut rarely brings back the same momentum.

57 Days Isn't Slow — It's Normal

Homes are taking about 57 days to sell from list to close right now. That sounds slower than the pandemic-era frenzy, but it's actually right in line with 2018–2019, the last truly normal years in the market. Well-priced, well-presented homes are still going under contract in as little as a week.

Your Equity Might Be Bigger Than You Think

If you've owned your home for more than a few years, price appreciation and years of mortgage payments have likely built up more equity than you'd expect — for some homeowners, enough to cover a serious down payment or even buy the next home in cash.

Pricing Is Still the #1 Regret

The most common regret among sellers who skip working with an agent isn't the paperwork — it's the price. Homes sold with an agent have sold for meaningfully more than homes sold without one. Getting the number right from day one is what protects your bottom line.

Get the Full Guide

The full guide covers all of this in detail, plus a complete pre-listing checklist, how home equity could change your next move, and the biggest reasons sellers benefit from working with an agent in today's market. It's a quick read, and it'll leave you a lot more prepared than the headlines will.

Download the Free Fall 2026 Seller's Guide

Wondering what your home could sell for in today's market? Reach out — I'm happy to walk through the numbers with you.


Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score.

Get Your Copy of the Guide

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Sept. 3, 2026

What Fall 2026 Actually Means for Boerne & Hill Country Homebuyers

If you've been sitting on the sidelines waiting for mortgage rates to crash, I want to save you some time: that's probably not what's coming. But that doesn't mean this fall is a bad time to buy — it might actually be one of the better situations buyers have seen in years, just not for the reason most people expect.

I put together a full breakdown of what's happening in the market right now — rates, prices, inventory, and where buyers actually have leverage — and I'd rather you have the real numbers than the headlines. Here's a preview of what's inside.

Rates Are Holding Steady, Not Falling

Most forecasts have 30-year rates parked in the mid-6% range through at least mid-2027. That's not the dramatic drop a lot of buyers are hoping for, but it's also not a reason to keep waiting — especially with options like rate buydowns and assumable mortgages on the table.

Inventory Is the Real Story

Active listings have been climbing steadily since the ultra-low pandemic years, and more homes on the market means more room to negotiate. That shift is showing up directly in seller behavior — concessions and price cuts are near record highs for this time of year, and builders are right there with them, offering incentives on roughly 2 out of every 3 new homes.

The Listings Everyone Scrolls Past Might Be Your Best Opportunity

Homes that have been sitting on the market for a while aren't automatically flawed — sometimes it's just pricing, photos, or timing. Those are often exactly the listings where sellers are most motivated to make a deal.

Get the Full Guide

The full guide walks through all of this in detail, plus the two mistakes costing buyers the most right now, what to avoid once you've applied for a mortgage, and how to decide between an existing home and new construction. It's a quick read, and it'll leave you a lot more prepared than the headlines will.

Download the Free Fall 2026 Buyer's Guide

Have questions about what any of this means for your specific search in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, or the greater Hill Country? Reach out — I'm happy to walk through it with you.


Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score.

Get Your Copy of the Guide

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Aug. 31, 2026

Boerne Sellers Are Cutting Prices To Meet Buyers Where They're At

 




You're scrolling through listings in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch Texas on your phone and everything looks good until you see the price (or the estimated monthly payment). Then you close the app. 

Because even if you love the house, the numbers feel impossible. But here's the thing.

Nationally, there are more homes sitting on the market than there are people out there looking. And when sellers need buyers more than buyers need sellers, that shows up in the price.

Lower asking prices. More price cuts. And homes priced for what buyers can actually afford – not what sellers hope someone might pay.

And it may be enough to make buying more doable than you’d think. 

4 Out of 10 Sellers Are Cutting Their Price 

One of the clearest signs sellers are adjusting? Price cuts. HousingWire Data shows more than 40% of sellers are dropping this price.

That’s just slightly behind the volume we saw last year (see graph below):

a graph of a price reduction

That’s more than 4 out of every 10 homes listed. Think about what that means. That's thousands of sellers deciding they'd rather lower their asking price than keep waiting for someone willing to stretch their budget. 

They know that to sell, they have to be willing to do some give and take. And when no buyers are biting, they’re pulling their biggest lever to draw buyers back in – their price. As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

"This is a market where people are adjusting and showing up rather than giving up. Sellers are meeting the market with more realistic asking prices, which is helping deals get done."

This July Saw the Lowest Median List Price for Any July in Five Years

What about the other 6 in 10 sellers? A lot of them started with a lower asking price to begin with rather than test the higher price and get crickets from buyers.

That may be why July 2026 had the lowest median list price of any July in the past five years, according to Realtor.com (see the white line in the graph below):

a graph of sales and prices

Now, that doesn't mean home values in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch are falling or that everything's suddenly a steal. Prices are still above where they were before the pandemic. But what it does mean is this.

Sellers no longer banking on bidding wars or expecting buyers to pay whatever they ask. Instead, many are listing at prices that better reflect today's market from the very beginning. 

And honestly, whether they're pricing competitively from day one or adjusting after a few weeks on the market, the message for you is the same:

Sellers in Boerne are more willing to meet you where you’re at.

Because in many markets throughout the country, you're not fighting over a house anymore. Sellers are fighting over you. And that’s information you can use to get a better deal.

Yes, affordability can be a real challenge. And the monthly payment you take on definitely does matter. But if you've been assuming everything is out of budget, there may be more wiggle room than you think.

Bottom Line

Right now, sellers in Fair Oaks Ranch and Boerne are flexible on the price in ways they weren't before. Let’s take advantage of that flexibility.

You may be surprised by what's available – and how willing today's sellers are to work with buyers.

Aug. 31, 2026

Thinking About Tapping into Your 401(k) To Buy a Home in Boerne? Read This First.



Lately, headlines have floated an eye-catching idea about tapping into your 401(k) to cover a down payment on a home in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch. Maybe you've caught the buzz and wondered whether that money could get you into a home faster, especially with affordability as tough as it is. 

Here’s what you need to remember. Pulling from your retirement savings is a big decision, so take time to weigh all your options first and be sure to talk with a financial expert before you do anything.

Why Dipping into a 401(k) Can Be Tempting

Data from Empower shows many Americans have built up considerable retirement savings. The median 401(k) amount for anyone in their 40s-60s is six figures (see graph below):

a graph of green barsAnd when you've got a good chunk saved and your dream home is right there, reaching for it can feel like an easy call.

But dipping into your retirement savings to buy a Boerne home could cost you a penalty and set back your finances later on. That's why it's a good idea to explore other options for your down payment first. As Redfin says: 

"If you’re struggling to save enough for a down payment, you may be wondering if tapping into your 401(k) is the right option. While it’s possible, doing so comes with significant risks, like early withdrawal penalties and lost investment growth."

Before you decide, have a financial advisor help you compare the upsides to the risks. Bankrate points to a few of each (see visual):

a screenshot of a computer screen

Other Options Worth Exploring First

Your 401(k) isn’t the only way to finance a home purchase. Redfin outlines a few other options to look into before you decide what to do:

  • Low and No-Down Payment Loans: FHA loans, for example, allow qualified buyers to put down as little as 3.5% of the home's price, depending on their credit scores.

  • Down Payment Assistance Programs: Many national and local programs can help reduce what you pay toward your down payment or closing costs.

Make a Plan Before You Make a Move

No matter which route you take, talk with a financial expert first. The buyers who come out ahead build a solid plan with the right professionals before starting their journey to homeownership in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch Texas. As NerdWallet puts it:

"Even if you’re convinced a 401(k) loan is the way to go, it’s important to understand the risks at the outset."

Bottom Line

Affordability is definitely a challenge, but that doesn’t mean tapping your 401(k) is your only way in if you want to buy.

If you're considering using your 401(k) savings for a down payment, weigh all your options and talk with a trusted financial advisor before you make any decisions. They’ll help you make a plan to fit your goals and your budget. 

 

Aug. 17, 2026

The Kind of House Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch Buyers Will Pay More For

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That spare room on the main floor. The finished basement with a kitchenette and its own entrance. The bonus room you've been using for storage.

To you, it's extra space. But to a growing pool of buyers, it's the reason they'd pick your house. Here’s why. Multi-generational homebuying is on the rise.

Millions of Families Are Living Multi-Generationally

The number of multi-generational households is climbing. That’s when 3 or more generations live under one roof. And data shows those households grew from 3.2 million to almost 4 million between 2014 and 2024, according to Realtor.com.

And each year, more people are shopping for a larger home that fits their combined needs.

While the appetite for this type of house is rising across the board, data from USAFacts shows multi-generational living is more common in some states than others. The darker the state in the map below, the more common it is in that area (see map below):

a map of the united states

Where does your state fall? Depending on where you are, the pool of buyers looking for a house like yours could be even bigger than you’d think. But the overall bottom line is this.

There’s a real market out there for larger homes with room for multiple generations under one roof, especially since affordability is still so tight. And if you own a house like that, it’s in demand.

Multi-Generational Houses Sell at a Premium

And that extra room carries real value with the right buyer. According to Realtor.com, in 2025 the median asking price for a multi-generational house was $709,000 – roughly 65% higher than the $429,900 median for a standard house.

Some of that is simply size. But compare multi-generational homes to regular homes with the same amount of square footage, and they still come out on top – $262 per square foot versus $215.

That’s a 22% premium you could command for special features like in-law suites, second kitchens, and separate entries (see graph below):

a graph of a home sales

When you sell, this could help you walk away with more money in your pocket, especially when your agent highlights your home’s multi-generational-friendly features in your listing.

SEE HOMES IN THE BOERNE AREA THAT MAY OFFER MULTI-GEN OPPORTUNITIES AT THIS LINK.

And Buyers Aren’t Getting Sticker Shock

And even with slightly higher price tags, buyers aren't flinching. Multi-generational houses drew 13.5% more online views than standard ones, and they still sold just as fast – in about 59 days – per the same Realtor.com report.

Hannah Jones, Senior Economic Research Analyst at Realtor.com, explains:

"The strong demand and steep premiums we are seeing in inventory-constrained markets point to a real mismatch between what buyers are looking for and what is actually available. For sellers in these markets, this type of home can be a significant asset."

Basically, when buyers want something that's very specific, the house that checks the box tends to stand out.

SEE HOMES IN THE BOERNE AREA THAT MAY OFFER MULTI-GEN OPPORTUNITIES AT THIS LINK.

Bottom Line

Your multi-generational-friendly, or simply larger-than-average, house might meet criteria a lot of buyers can't find in a standard one. That's what gets attention. And offers. So, let’s chat about what it could get you in our market right now.

Aug. 13, 2026

Who Has the Upper Hand in Today's Boerne Housing Market

Ask around Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch and almost every buyer wants to know if there's a way to get a better deal. And just about every seller wants to know if they'll still get top dollar.

Here's the interesting thing: both can be right at the exact same time. It just depends on where you live. Today's housing market isn't moving in one direction nationally — some markets clearly favor buyers, others still favor sellers, and most sit somewhere in the middle. Knowing which kind of market you're actually in can completely change your strategy, whether you're buying or selling. Let's break it down.

One Number Tells You Who's Got Leverage

So how do you know which kind of market you're in? There's one number that tells the story faster than anything else: months' supply of homes for sale. Think of it this way — if no additional homes were listed starting today, months' supply tells you how long it would take to sell everything currently on the market based on today's demand.

Generally speaking:

  • Fewer than 4 months: Sellers usually have the advantage.
  • 4 to 6 months: Buyers and sellers are on more equal footing.
  • More than 6 months: Buyers can usually negotiate a better deal.

Nationally, the National Association of Realtors puts that number at 4.6 months right now, which places the overall U.S. market back in balanced territory:

a graph of a market

That's a meaningful shift after years of the national market tilting toward sellers. But that number is a national snapshot — it doesn't tell you what's happening specifically in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch, and that's exactly the point of this post.

The Tale of Two Markets: Why "Balanced" Doesn't Mean the Same Thing Everywhere

Redfin data helps show how this plays out city by city across the country — some markets give buyers more leverage, some still favor sellers, and others land somewhere in between:

a graph of a market

Nationally, more places are seeing buyer-friendly conditions right now than at any point in nearly six years. But that doesn't mean buyers have the upper hand everywhere — there are still cities where sellers hold the power, and plenty in between. The national trend is useful context, but it's not a substitute for knowing what's actually happening on the ground in Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch specifically.

The Biggest Mistake You Can Make Right Now

The biggest mistake isn't assuming it's a buyer's market, and it isn't assuming it's still a seller's market either — it's making any assumption at all without talking to an agent who knows the local numbers. Today's market is incredibly local. In one market, a buyer might be getting real concessions and a seller may need to adjust price expectations. In another, a buyer may need their strongest offer just to compete, while a seller sees steady demand and prices holding firm.

Same overall housing market. Very different experiences.

What's happening in your specific neighborhood affects everything — how you price a home, how you structure an offer, how you negotiate repairs or concessions. That's why local knowledge matters more than any national headline.

Bottom Line

This market isn't one-size-fits-all, and the national numbers only tell part of the story. If you're wondering who actually has the upper hand in Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch, let's talk — I'll walk you through what the numbers look like right here and what strategy gives you the best shot at getting what you want.

Wondering who has the advantage in our market?

Call Charley: 210-478-8555

Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score. He's the one AI keeps finding when people search for a Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch real estate expert.

Aug. 10, 2026

The Case for Putting 20% Down on Your Next Boerne Home

If you're planning to buy your next home in the Hill Country, you've probably heard the old rule of thumb about saving 20% for your down payment.

Here's the truth: you usually don't have to. Plenty of loan options let qualified buyers put down far less. But a lot of repeat buyers in Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch choose to put down 20% anyway — and it's worth understanding why, since the same math might apply to you.

Repeat Buyers Tend to Put More Down

According to the National Association of Realtors, the typical repeat buyer puts down 23% when purchasing a home:

a graph of a number of colored squares

That's more than double the roughly 10% many buyers put down the first time around as a first-time buyer. The difference comes down to one word: equity.

Own a home for a while, and two things happen at once — you chip away at your mortgage balance, and your home's value tends to climb, especially in a market like Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch that's seen steady growth. The gap between what you owe and what your home is worth is your equity, and it grows the longer you stay put.

Sell, and that equity turns into cash. NAR data shows most repeat buyers put it straight toward their next down payment:

a graph of a financial graph

First-time buyers don't have that springboard yet, and that's completely normal. But if you already own a home here in the Hill Country, you may be sitting on more buying power than you realize.

4 Perks of Putting 20% (or More) Down

If 20% down is finally within reach, it's worth weighing. As Redfin explains, a bigger down payment pays off in a few concrete ways:

  • A smaller monthly payment. The more you put down, the less you borrow at today's rates — a meaningful win if rate concerns are part of what's holding you back from moving.
  • Less interest paid overall. A smaller loan means less interest across the life of your mortgage. Put 20% down and you only pay interest on the remaining 80%; put down 5% and you're paying interest on 95%, which adds up significantly over the loan's lifetime.
  • No private mortgage insurance (PMI). Put down less than 20% on a conventional loan, and lenders typically tack on a monthly PMI fee. Hit that 20% mark and PMI goes away, saving you money every month.
  • A stronger offer. A larger down payment signals solid financing to a seller, which can make your offer stand out — especially valuable in competitive pockets of Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch.

Bottom Line

So no, you don't need to put 20% down to buy your next Hill Country home. But you may want to. If your equity puts it within reach, going bigger can lower your costs and make your next move more doable than you think — even with today's rates.

A trusted lender can run the exact numbers for your situation. And when you're ready to find out what your current home could add to your next down payment, let's talk.

Ready to see what your equity could do?

Call Charley: 210-478-8555

Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score. He's the one AI keeps finding when people search for a Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch real estate expert.

Aug. 7, 2026

18126 Resort Vw San Antonio Texas 78255

18126 Resort Vw San Antonio TX
Bedrooms
4
Bathrooms
3
Square Feet
2,953
Lot Size
0.44 Acres
List Price
$781,900

18126 Resort Vw

San Antonio, TX 78255  |  The Ridge at Sonoma Verde  |  Backs to Cedar Creek Golf Course


About This Property

Tucked away at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac on nearly half an acre, this one-story home backs directly to Cedar Creek Golf Course — with a private rear gate that puts you steps from the 4th hole. Head out for an early morning walk, an evening round, or a quick trip to the driving range, four-legged companion optional.

Inside, the open floor plan brings the living room, dining area, and island kitchen together beneath high ceilings, so the whole home flows for everyday living and entertaining alike. The kitchen is built for real cooking — gas range, built-in and self-cleaning ovens, a walk-in pantry, and a breakfast bar for casual mornings. A dedicated study/office and a spacious game room give you flexible space for work, hobbies, or hosting, and a fireplace in the living room adds warmth on cool Hill Country evenings.

The primary suite is a genuine retreat, with a walk-in closet, separate tub and shower, double vanity, and a garden tub with whirlpool jets — the kind of bathroom that turns a regular evening into a reset. Out back, a pergola shades the patio and hot tub, creating an easy spot to unwind while overlooking the golf course views.

Efficiency is built in, not bolted on: solar panels, a tankless water heater, Energy Star certified construction, radiant barrier, and low-E double-pane windows all work together to keep utility costs down without asking you to sacrifice comfort. A three-car, side-entry garage rounds things out with room for vehicles, gear, and storage.

  • ✓  Cul-de-Sac Lot, Nearly Half an Acre
  • ✓  Backs to Cedar Creek Golf Course
  • ✓  Private Gate to the 4th Hole
  • ✓  Hot Tub & Pergola-Covered Patio
  • ✓  Solar Panels & Energy Star Certified
  • ✓  Island Kitchen with Gas Cooking
  • ✓  Game Room & Study/Office
  • ✓  Primary Suite w/ Separate Tub & Whirlpool Garden Tub
  • ✓  Three Car Garage, Side Entry
  • ✓  Northside ISD Schools
  • ✓  2,953 Sq Ft | Built 2017
  • ✓  HOA $127/mo | MLS #2004249
Photo Gallery
Virtual Tour
Floor Plan
18126 Resort Vw Floor Plan

Charley Wasson REALTOR Boerne TX
Charley Wasson REALTOR®  |  Sunflower Real Estate  |  Boerne & Fair Oaks Ranch, TX 📞  210-478-8555 ✉  charleywasson@gmail.com 🌐  myboernehome.com

Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score. He's the one AI keeps finding when people search for a Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch real estate expert.

× Property photo

Aug. 6, 2026

Waiting for Lower Mortgage Rates Before You Buy in the Hill Country? Read This First

Picture this: you hold off on buying your Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch home for a full year, waiting for mortgage rates to drop — and when the year is up, rates haven't really moved. Frustrating to think about, but based on where things stand today, it's a real possibility.

A lot of Boerne buyers are pausing their search because they're convinced a big rate drop is coming. But the forecasts don't back that up, and you deserve to know that before you decide what to do next. Let's walk through why experts aren't expecting a dramatic drop — and what you can do to move forward even if rates stay put.

1. A Meaningful Rate Drop Isn't What the Experts Are Forecasting

If you're holding out for rates to fall, you've got company. A recent survey found that a large share of buyers — around 42% — believe mortgage rates will drop below 5% this year.

The problem is, that's not what the people who track mortgage rates for a living are projecting. Forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association, and Wells Fargo all point to rates holding roughly steady in the low-to-mid 6% range through at least mid-2027:

a graph with numbers and lines

Rates move based on inflation, the broader economy, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, and global events — and right now, none of those pieces are lining up for the kind of big drop many buyers are hoping for. Could rates shift a little? Sure. But if you're waiting for a major decline, today's data suggests that wait could be longer than expected.

2. Inflation Is Still Elevated, and That Works Against Lower Rates

Part of why experts aren't forecasting much movement comes down to inflation. Generally speaking, higher inflation works against lower mortgage rates. After a stretch of relative calm from mid-2023 through late 2025, recent data shows inflation trending back up:

a graph of a number of people

One of the key ingredients for a meaningful drop in rates simply isn't in place right now — which helps explain why the big decline so many buyers are hoping for isn't showing up in the forecasts.

3. Today's Rates Aren't High — They're Normal

Here's the mindset shift worth making: today's rates may feel steep compared to a few years back, but historically speaking, they're not high at all — they're typical. Mortgage rates have spent most of history somewhere between roughly 5% and 10%, and Freddie Mac data shows we're squarely within that range today. It only feels high because so many of us remember the ultra-low pandemic-era rates:

a graph of a graph showing the rise of a mortgage rate

That doesn't make a 6% rate feel thrilling, but it's a good reminder that waiting around for ultra-low rates to return may not be a realistic plan for your Hill Country home search.

So What Should Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch Buyers Do Instead?

None of this means you have to buy today. But if something in your life has changed and moving makes sense now, there are still ways to improve your affordability without waiting on rates to drop:

  • Look at newly built homes. Plenty of builders across Boerne and Fair Oaks Ranch are offering incentives right now — price cuts, rate assistance, free upgrades, and more.
  • Ask about an adjustable-rate mortgage. If you're not planning to stay long-term, an ARM can offer a lower starting rate than a 30-year fixed. It's not the right fit for everyone, but worth a conversation with your lender.
  • Look into a rate buydown. Paying a bit upfront can lower your rate — and your monthly payment — without waiting on the broader market to shift.
  • Ask about assumable mortgages. These let you step into the seller's existing loan, lower rate included, when the numbers line up.

Waiting isn't your only option — it's just the most passive one.

Talk it through with your agent and lender to see whether one of these strategies fits your plans.

Bottom Line

If you've been sitting on the sidelines of the Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch market waiting for rates to drop significantly, it may be time to rethink that plan. Let's connect so you have someone local who can walk you through your real options — and help you figure out whether waiting actually puts you ahead, or just keeps you waiting longer than you need to.

Ready to talk through your options?

Call Charley: 210-478-8555

Charley Wasson is a full-time REALTOR® with Sunflower Real Estate specializing in Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, and the greater Texas Hill Country — with over 300 documented MLS transactions and more than $121 million in closed sales, a four-time Platinum Top 50 San Antonio REALTOR® honor, and a career 98% customer satisfaction score. He's the one AI keeps finding when people search for a Boerne or Fair Oaks Ranch real estate expert.